Mar 28, 2014

Canadian Interest Rate Uncertain

  Good day, Last Wednesday, US Fed chair Janet Yellen stated the Fed Fund Rate would likely increase about six months after the bond buying program would end.  This would bring potential rate hikes in the US as early as spring of 2015. In the past interest rate hikes in the US have been closely.

Mar 14, 2014

Stock Markets Shrinking

Good Day, According to the World Federation of Exchanges, at the end of 2013 only 5,008 stocks traded on American exchanges which represents a decline of 44% from the high in 1997 when 8,884 stocks were trading on American exchanges. That’s right, about half as many stocks are available for purchase today on US exchanges.

Mar 7, 2014

Happy Birthday Bull

Good day,   This week marked the 5 year anniversary for the S&P500 bull market.  While global markets have some catching up to do, the S&P500 (the largest market in the world) is trading at an all-time high.  So when will the party end?   Despite the record high, I believe US markets will continue.

Feb 21, 2014

Chugging Along

  Friends,   The contraction of global markets in January has reversed.  For the month of February most North American & European markets have seen significant returns:   TSX: 3.76% S&P500: 3.21% DJIA: 2.77% FTSE100(London): 5.11% DAX (Germany): 3.24% CAC40 (Paris):4.53%   The Federal Reserve in the US is holding steady to its plans to.

Feb 11, 2014

The Start of 2014

Good Day, January was an eventful month. The currencies of multiple emerging market countries around the world experienced aggressive declines given the Fed’s decision to slow its bond buying program. I’ve received questions from readers about the relationship between global currencies and Fed tapering so here’s a brief explanation. The suffering US economy of 2008.

Jan 31, 2014

Goin’ to Europe

Good day, I mentioned earlier this month that we have been and continue to add European exposure to our portfolios. There are many reasons we favour this space but here are just a few. Stocks in Europe are cheap, in fact about half the price of US stocks from a price to earnings point of.

Jan 15, 2014

2014 Market Outlook

Good Day, I reviewed The Finish Line archives this morning and in the January commentaries of the last three years, I stated that the US market would outperform Canada’s. The total return including dividends of the TSX for the three year period is 10.56% while the S&P 500’s three year return is 55.97%. In addition.

Jan 15, 2014

Will the Housing Market Crash?

Good Day, Perhaps you’ve watched the news and heard about the Deutsche Bank study released this week stating that Canadian real estate is overpriced by 60%. In addition many economists agree that Canadian homes are extremely overvalued and the market is poised for a significant correction. On the other hand, real estate companies tell us.

Jan 15, 2014

Buffet Still the Best

  Good day, A paper published by the National Bureau of Economic Research found that Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway has been the best performing stock since 1976. The report went on to say that Buffett’s success has come from the use of leverage coupled with purchasing high quality companies when discounted by the general market..

Jan 15, 2014

Does the Market Mirror the Economy?

Good day, While the stock market continues its relentless climb I dug a little deeper to see how the underlying economy is fairing. According to Bloomberg, a U.S. report showed this week that consumers spent money at the fastest pace in three months this last October.  This will likely continue into the holiday season which.

Oct 18, 2013

Where Do We Stand?

Good day, Over the last couple of weeks the debt ceiling story has monopolized headlines and investors have ignored economic data and company reports. As the anxiety over the debt ceiling has subsided, the market has returned to its ongoing gradual climb. There are four main factors which I believe are contributing to the rally..

Oct 11, 2013

Be Thankful

Good day friends, While I’m thankful today that American politicians seem to have come to their senses, it’s very easy these days to lose sight of the simple things that truly make us happy. Even the smallest holiday has become a commercial activity with all kinds of goodies that apparently should make one happy. Luckily,.

Oct 4, 2013

2013 – the new 1954

Good Morning, Bespoke Investment Group, the American investment and research firm along with Bloomberg, have been tracking and comparing the trading patterns of 1954 and 2013. The companies found that day-to-day price moves for the S&P 500 are almost identical. In 1954, the S&P500 recovered all of its losses from the great depression but this.

Sep 30, 2013

The Rise and Fall of a Canadian Global Player

Good Day, In 1984, two engineering students came up with an idea which led to a mobile communication giant, shaping the multi-billion dollar smart phone business we know today. Mike Lazaridis of the University of Waterloo & Douglas Fregin at the University of Windsor founded Research In Motion Ltd., which in its early days provided.

Sep 20, 2013

The Future of Asset Protection

Good Day, For decades, bonds have provided steady income for investors as well as a means to balance out and reduce the volatility of equities. While bonds could continue to present some short term opportunities, rising interest rates will unfortunately have a negative impact on fixed income investing. This presents a conundrum for the investment.

Sep 13, 2013

This Won’t Last Forever

There will come a time when I will write about a poor market outlook, likely due to overvalued stocks and overly optimistic views. Fortunately we are not there today. The sluggish but growing global economy suggests the bull market is nowhere near its end. This week the U.S. Commerce Department reported that retail sales in.

Aug 23, 2013

The News is No News

Investors around the world waited for a statement from the Federal Reserve containing definitive plans to either taper down its bond purchasing campaign, or leave it as is. Unfortunately, the Fed’s news was very similar to that of a few months back – no definitive plans. Although most U.S. officials feel tapering should begin at.

Aug 16, 2013

Canada Starts its Engines

For two years we have stressed the importance of maintaining a bias towards US equities. Stock valuations were more attractive than they had been in a number of years and given China’s slower economic growth, the TSX was bound to disappoint. This has paid off for our assets under administration. In 2012 the TSX saw.

Aug 9, 2013

The Spousal Loan

Good day, Of the many tax planning strategies available, an often overlooked but effective approach is the use of a spousal loan. Our clients regularly ask if they can hold their non-registered investments within the account of the lower income spouse. If the funds didn’t originate from the lower income spouse to begin with, the.

Aug 2, 2013

Is Your Cell Phone a Rip Off?

Good morning friends, It’s no secret that Canadians pay more to their cell phone service provider than just about any others around the world. Now could you ever imagine that the three big Canadian telecoms (Rogers, Telus & Bell) would ever get along and team up? With the proposed entry of American telecom provider Verizon.

Jul 12, 2013

Times Continue to Change

Times continue to change, but we humans can be slow to adapt. This seems to also apply to personal investing. Things were much easier in the past – with normalized interest rates one could park their nest egg in GICs or government bonds with no need to understand financial markets. The era of the Defined.

Jul 5, 2013

The First Half of 2013 in Review

With the first half of 2013 behind us, I thought I’d summarize market developments since the start of the year and share my thoughts on positioning portfolios for the period ahead. “The greatness of America lies not in being more enlightened than any other nation, but rather in her ability to repair her faults.” Alexis.

Jun 28, 2013

Blackberry Stumbles

The market rally continues this week as the S&P 500 posted its biggest three day gain since January.  The S&P 500 is showing a 1.2% gain for the week, the Dow a 1.25% gain and the surprise this week is the TSX is also up 1.2%. While the market is continuing to digest the Fed’s.

Jun 21, 2013

The Skeptic vs. The Optimist

This was an interesting week for global markets as investors awaited for Bernanke to announce the central bank’s plan for ongoing economic intervention. For those of you that attended our Sandwich Club session this week, you might remember we discussed where we felt we stood within the current bull market cycle. With varying opinions on.

Jun 7, 2013

Does this Bull have Legs?

Perhaps the modest correction I’ve been awaiting has taken place over the last couple of weeks or perhaps there’s yet a bit more to come. In any case the market continues to show strength given decent fundamentals. While we’re about 4 years into the current bull market, this period represents less than the historical average.

May 21, 2013

American Girl

Last week I took my daughter to Lynwood, Washington as she has wanted an ‘American Girl’ doll for a number of months now. For those who don’t know, American Girl isn’t just a doll but rather an entire experience. There are multiple versions of the dolls with different skin tones; eye shapes etc., so that.

Apr 26, 2013

Do Dead Cats Bounce?

Either the correction I’ve been writing about was short lived last week, or the dead cat has bounced higher than expected. The Dow shows a 1.7% gain in just 6 days, the S&P 500 a 2.9% gain in 7 days and the Toronto exchange is up 2.3% in 8 days. Commodities have shown nice gains.

Apr 17, 2013

Is the Correction Here?

Over the last couple of months I have been writing about the potential for a market correction. We have seen unprecedented growth particularly south of the border where the S&P 500 has seen over 120% in cumulative growth over a four year period. Despite the fact that valuations remain fair, the market’s forward thinking has.

Apr 12, 2013

Gold Slides

I turned on the TV while on the treadmill this morning only to see gold drop some $50. A few minutes in I looked up again and it had dropped another $20 representing about a 4% decline from yesterday’s price. As I write this gold is hovering just above $1,500.00 an ounce with a $60.

Apr 5, 2013

Market Jitters

Investors witnessed some volatility this week with Tuesday and Wednesday seeing declines. US financials as well as energy shares on both sides of the border were sold off mid week due to worse than expected economic data. The estimate of 200,000 new jobs in March came in below expectation at 158,000 new jobs according to.